There has been a lot of talk in JESC, and ESC, about countries who vote for another country because of a relationship between the 2 countries rather than how good the song is.
The voting patterns of each country has been analysed and the total number of votes each country has given to every other country have been calculated. The voting patterns have then been compared with the final position in the competition and the average difference between the vote and the final position has been calculated. A positive value means that the country generally gives the other country more votes than the final position would suggest. A negative value means that the country generally gives fewer points.
Care should be taken when interpreting the results of this analysis as one country regularly giving another country higher points does not necessarily mean that it is due to a relationship between the two countries as there are many other factors that can explain these results. For example, Greece and Cyprus both sang their songs in Greek and this could lead them to giving each other more votes than other countries, a similar situation occurs between Belgium and the Netherlands, and with Russia and Belarus; and a number of other languages used are similar and Russian is still a common language in most of the former Eastern Block countries.
As there are a total of 782 pairs of countries, only those cases where the difference is statistically significant have been included on this page. If you want to see the complete list then it is available here.
NOTE: As there are 782 pairs of countries and I am using a significance level of 0.05 (5%) it would be expected that there would be 39 pairs that differ from final results by a significant amount only allowing for random factors. As there are only 47 pairs that significantly differ from the final result, and this is only slightly higher than what is expected, it is more likely that the voting patterns described here are explained by other factors than because of a relationship between the 2 countries.
To sort the table by a different column, click on the column header.
For the purposes of this list Serbia and Montenegro has been counted with Serbia.
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| Votinig Country |
Country Voted For |
No. Years |
Difference from Final Position |
(Total Votes) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Greece | Cyprus | 5 | 10.60 | (60) |
| 2. | Cyprus | Greece | 6 | 7.83 | (57) |
| 3. | Georgia | Azerbaijan | 2 | 7.00 | (18) |
| 4. | Lithuania | Latvia | 2 | 7.00 | (15) |
| 5. | Belgium | Netherlands | 10 | 6.60 | (98) |
| 6. | Netherlands | Belgium | 10 | 6.50 | (97) |
| 7. | Georgia | Lithuania | 4 | 6.50 | (40) |
| 8. | FYR Macedonia | Serbia | 6 | 6.17 | (60) |
| 9. | FYR Macedonia | Croatia | 4 | 5.75 | (44) |
| 10. | Spain | Romania | 4 | 5.75 | (42) |
| 11. | Serbia | FYR Macedonia | 6 | 5.50 | (48) |
| 12. | Malta | Moldova | 2 | 5.50 | (14) |
| 13. | Denmark | Sweden | 3 | 5.33 | (16) |
| 14. | FYR Macedonia | Bulgaria | 3 | 5.00 | (22) |
| 15. | Denmark | Malta | 3 | 5.00 | (19) |
| 16. | Serbia | Croatia | 3 | 5.00 | (16) |
| 17. | Denmark | Norway | 3 | 4.67 | (22) |
| 18. | Norway | Denmark | 3 | 4.33 | (32) |
| 19. | Sweden | Denmark | 3 | 4.33 | (32) |
| 20. | Sweden | Norway | 3 | 4.33 | (21) |
| 21. | Croatia | Serbia | 3 | 4.00 | (19) |
| 22. | Poland | Belarus | 2 | 4.00 | (15) |
| 23. | Belarus | Russia | 10 | 3.90 | (107) |
| 24. | Croatia | FYR Macedonia | 4 | 3.75 | (22) |
| 25. | Cyprus | Romania | 7 | 3.57 | (47) |
| 26. | Armenia | Russia | 8 | 3.50 | (82) |
| 27. | United Kingdom | Malta | 3 | 3.33 | (14) |
| 28. | Malta | United Kingdom | 3 | 3.00 | (27) |
| 29. | Georgia | Ukraine | 8 | 2.75 | (67) |
| 30. | Russia | Belarus | 10 | 2.70 | (96) |
| 31. | Armenia | Georgia | 8 | 2.63 | (79) |
| 32. | Belarus | Ukraine | 9 | 2.56 | (70) |
| 33. | Belgium | Sweden | 9 | 2.56 | (46) |
| 34. | Georgia | Armenia | 8 | 2.38 | (81) |
| 35. | Sweden | Netherlands | 11 | 2.36 | (64) |
| 36. | Netherlands | Sweden | 11 | 2.36 | (51) |
| 37. | Belarus | Poland | 2 | 2.00 | (4) |
| 38. | Ukraine | Belarus | 9 | 1.89 | (74) |
| 39. | Belgium | Belarus | 10 | -1.90 | (39) |
| 40. | Netherlands | Belarus | 12 | -2.17 | (48) |
| 41. | FYR Macedonia | Georgia | 6 | -2.33 | (30) |
| 42. | Georgia | Russia | 8 | -2.38 | (35) |
| 43. | Spain | Croatia | 4 | -3.00 | (8) |
| 44. | Serbia | Armenia | 5 | -3.20 | (24) |
| 45. | FYR Macedonia | United Kingdom | 3 | -3.33 | (8) |
| 46. | Malta | Spain | 4 | -3.75 | (24) |
| 47. | Latvia | Armenia | 2 | -6.00 | (6) |